Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 15:30
11.3170.4%
X4.8119.2%
28.8210.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWDWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Santa Clara
LDLLDDWLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.40
Against
4.60
8.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.50
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.10goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.60
8.30
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.30
Match total
28.40

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.4%76.8%+6.5 pp
Draw19.2%14.7%-4.4 pp
Away10.5%8.4%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

2.170.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.9%
2-113.7%
3-010.5%
1-010.5%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.793.04
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%42.7%–78.8% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT8.3%2.3%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.8%
Away33.3%