Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 15:30
11.7652.4%
X3.6225.5%
24.1622.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
LWWLLDLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
AVS
LLDLLDDLDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.30
Against
6.40
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.80goals per match
AVS conceded2.30
Matchup

AVS attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.40
8.70
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
28.20
Match total
21.90

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
2.30
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches523
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%60.8%+8.4 pp
Draw25.5%23.3%-2.1 pp
Away22.2%15.9%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.780.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.7%
2-112.8%
1-110.7%
2-09.9%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.06
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=523.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches157
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.4%40.7%–56.2% CI
Draw FT34.4%27.4%–42.1% CI
Away FT17.2%12.1%–23.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.1%
Away36.9%