Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:15
12.0445.1%
X3.2628.2%
23.4426.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
WDLLLLWWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Nacional
LDLLLLDLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.60
Against
6.90
8.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Nacional conceded1.60
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.80goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.90
8.80
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

18.80N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
32.50
Match total
28.50

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
2.80
On target
4.90
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches983
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%43.3%-1.7 pp
Draw28.2%31.2%+3.0 pp
Away26.7%25.4%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.421.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
2-111.3%
1-010.5%
0-08.9%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.31
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=983.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches335
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.7%28.9%–39.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%35.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT25.4%21.0%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away45.4%