Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:15
19.649.5%
X5.8915.6%
21.2374.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LWLLLDWLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sp Lisbon
DWDWDWDWWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
5.60
Against
3.20
12.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.20
12.20
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.00
Match total
5.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.60
Match total
28.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.20
On target
5.20
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.5%7.0%-2.5 pp
Draw15.6%18.3%+2.7 pp
Away74.8%74.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.542.3%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

0.972.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.1%
1-211.3%
0-19.9%
1-19.9%
2-38.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.247.32
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.552.1%
Over 11.543.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away84.2%