Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:15
11.6954.6%
X3.6725.1%
24.5520.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DDWWWLDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Arouca
DLWWLLLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
3.80
9.50
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

2.00goals per match
Arouca conceded1.30
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.00goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.80
9.50
Match total
7.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
27.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.90
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches839
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%56.9%+2.3 pp
Draw25.1%26.0%+0.8 pp
Away20.3%17.2%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.740.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.2%
1-011.8%
1-111.1%
2-09.9%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.93
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=839.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches247
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.7%39.6%–52.0% CI
Draw FT38.5%32.6%–44.7% CI
Away FT15.8%11.8%–20.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away34.8%