Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 18:00
111.837.8%
X6.2614.7%
21.1977.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AVS
LDLLLWDLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Porto
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.10
Against
3.10
10.30
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AVS attack
0.80goals per matchPorto conceded0.70Matchup
Porto attack
1.80goals per matchAVS conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.10
10.30
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.80
Match total
28.00
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.8%6.7%-1.1 pp
Draw14.7%8.9%-5.8 pp
Away77.5%84.4%+7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
0.56–2.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-213.3%
1-213.3%
1-313.3%
0-311.1%
0-48.9%
Comparable corner averages
2.64–7.51
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away75.0%