Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 18:00
111.837.8%
X6.2614.7%
21.1977.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
LDLLLWDLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Porto
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.10
Against
3.10
10.30
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.70
Matchup

Porto attack

1.80goals per match
AVS conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.10
10.30
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.80
Match total
28.00

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.8%6.7%-1.1 pp
Draw14.7%8.9%-5.8 pp
Away77.5%84.4%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

0.562.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.3%
1-213.3%
1-313.3%
0-311.1%
0-48.9%

Comparable corner averages

2.647.51
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away75.0%