Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 20:15
11.2573.9%
X5.6416.4%
29.459.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWLD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Guimaraes
WWDLLLLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.90
Against
3.80
10.00
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

3.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.80
10.00
Match total
7.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
5.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.40
Match total
30.10

Shots

19.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
7.40
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.9%76.2%+2.3 pp
Draw16.4%14.3%-2.1 pp
Away9.8%9.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

2.440.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.0%
2-011.1%
1-07.9%
1-17.9%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.143.17
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.0%44.2%–78.5% CI
Draw FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal96.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.2%
Away55.6%