Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 20:30
13.6125.5%
X3.4227.0%
21.9447.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DLWLLLDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Gil Vicente
DDDDLWLDLD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.00
11.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.00goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.60
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.10goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.00
11.20
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.00
Match total
27.40

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches471
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%22.3%-3.2 pp
Draw27.0%26.8%-0.2 pp
Away47.5%51.0%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.071.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-110.4%
1-210.2%
0-29.1%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.32
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=471.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%14.4%–28.3% CI
Draw FT36.2%28.4%–44.9% CI
Away FT43.3%35.0%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.4%
Away60.6%