Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 20:30
11.1977.8%
X6.1815.0%
212.917.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWDWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Alverca
WLLLLDDDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.40
Against
5.90
8.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Alverca conceded1.80
Matchup

Alverca attack

1.00goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.90
8.30
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.30
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.8%86.0%+8.2 pp
Draw15.0%10.8%-4.2 pp
Away7.2%3.2%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.570.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.1%
2-115.1%
2-012.9%
4-09.7%
3-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.093.19
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%58.4%–91.9% CI
Draw FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.0%
Away30.0%