Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 18:00
15.2017.7%
X4.0122.9%
21.5559.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LLWLWWWWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Benfica
WWDWDWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
8.90N=10
4.60
Against
2.50
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.80goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.90goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
8.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.50
10.60
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.30
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
30.30
Match total
25.30

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
17.80N=10
5.50
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches173
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.7%12.1%-5.6 pp
Draw22.9%20.8%-2.1 pp
Away59.4%67.1%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

0.842.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
1-111.6%
1-211.0%
1-39.2%
0-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.165.94
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=172.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.2%–48.3% CI
Away FT53.2%39.2%–66.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.1%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away74.5%