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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:30

Nacional

vs

AVS

11.4464.0%
X4.3721.1%
26.2014.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
LWDWDLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
AVS
LLLDLLDDLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.70
Against
6.30
11.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
2.60
2.50
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.50goals per match
AVS conceded2.60
Matchup

AVS attack

0.60goals per match
Nacional conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.30
11.30
Match total
9.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.00
Match total
3.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.60
Match total
22.20

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.10
On target
2.70
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%70.4%+6.4 pp
Draw21.1%19.9%-1.2 pp
Away14.9%9.7%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

2.12–0.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.8%
1-012.2%
2-010.2%
1-19.2%
3-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.82–3.36
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.6%46.7%–71.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Away FT7.0%2.8%–16.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.7%
2+ goals49.1%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.7%
Away36.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAVSForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs AVSCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.