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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:30

Moreirense

vs

Estrela

12.4337.9%
X3.1529.2%
22.8032.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
DLWWLLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Estrela
LLWLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.30
Against
6.80
9.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.70goals per match
Estrela conceded2.10
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.80
9.10
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
28.50
Match total
28.90

Shots

7.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.40
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches726
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%34.7%-3.2 pp
Draw29.2%33.6%+4.4 pp
Away32.9%31.7%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.19–1.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-011.0%
0-19.6%
0-09.4%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.10–4.61
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=725.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches237
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%24.1%–35.6% CI
Draw FT45.6%39.4%–51.9% CI
Away FT24.9%19.8%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.9%
Away46.0%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMoreirenseForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamEstrelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMoreirense vs EstrelaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.