Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:30
12.8132.8%
X3.0530.3%
22.5036.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LLWDLWWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Santa Clara
DLDLLDDWLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.20
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.50goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.40
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Arouca conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.20
9.10
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.20
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.40
Match total
28.60

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%31.5%-1.4 pp
Draw30.3%33.9%+3.7 pp
Away36.9%34.6%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.051.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
0-013.4%
0-112.7%
1-09.8%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.594.66
Average total9.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=613.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches237
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.9%19.8%–30.8% CI
Draw FT48.5%42.2%–54.9% CI
Away FT26.6%21.4%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.0%
Away45.1%