Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-29 · 20:15
11.1282.4%
X7.8911.7%
215.635.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Tondela
LDWLLLDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.40
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

3.00goals per match
Tondela conceded2.10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
5.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
24.90
Match total
27.10

Shots

20.20N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
7.70
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.4%85.0%+2.6 pp
Draw11.7%11.0%-0.7 pp
Away5.9%4.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.551.0%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

2.920.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.0%
3-012.0%
3-112.0%
4-09.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

8.622.63
Average total11.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.566.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away36.8%