Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-27 · 20:15
11.5459.5%
X3.7524.4%
25.7216.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
LDDWWWLDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Casa Pia
DLWLLDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.70
Against
7.00
10.30
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.80goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.90
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.60goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.00
10.30
Match total
11.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
27.30
Match total
27.90

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.70
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches315
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.5%62.2%+2.7 pp
Draw24.4%21.9%-2.5 pp
Away16.0%15.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.830.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-012.4%
1-110.2%
2-18.9%
3-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.863.56
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=314.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.532.8%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.5%40.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT30.1%22.1%–39.5% CI
Away FT20.4%13.7%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals43.7%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.0%
Away39.8%