Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 20:30
116.785.5%
X8.8210.5%
21.1084.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
DLDLLLWDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WDWDWDWDWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.80N=10
5.60
Against
3.40
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.10goals per match
AVS conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.40
9.90
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.30
Match total
6.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
24.60
Match total
28.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.80
On target
5.10
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home5.5%8.3%+2.8 pp
Draw10.5%8.3%-2.1 pp
Away84.0%83.3%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

0.923.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-125.0%
0-48.3%
1-78.3%
2-58.3%
1-58.3%

Comparable corner averages

2.838.50
Average total11.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.583.3%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%