Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 15:30
12.9731.0%
X3.4626.7%
22.1842.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WDWWWDWDLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Famalicao
DLLWLLDWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.60
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
4.00
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

2.30goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.50
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.90goals per match
Estoril conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.60
9.80
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
23.70
Match total
33.10

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.00
On target
3.20
19%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches516
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%32.0%+0.9 pp
Draw26.7%27.7%+1.1 pp
Away42.3%40.3%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

1.311.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
2-18.5%
2-28.1%
1-27.9%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.835.21
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=515.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%17.7%–31.9% CI
Draw FT41.6%33.7%–50.0% CI
Away FT34.3%26.9%–42.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.3%
Away56.2%