Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 18:00
11.1381.9%
X7.6312.1%
215.605.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
DDWWWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Moreirense
LDDWLLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.30
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.30goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.30
Match total
31.30

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.40
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.9%87.5%+5.6 pp
Draw12.1%9.8%-2.3 pp
Away5.9%2.7%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.1%
BTTS41.1%

Historical average

2.960.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.3%
2-010.7%
1-09.8%
4-08.9%
3-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

8.722.29
Average total11.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.2%
Over 9.566.1%
Over 10.551.8%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.9%56.7%–91.5% CI
Draw FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.2%
Away21.1%