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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:30

Tondela

vs

Nacional

12.7034.1%
X3.2928.0%
22.4337.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LLWLDDDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Nacional
DLDLLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.00
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.90goals per match
Nacional conceded1.70
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.70goals per match
Tondela conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
25.70
Match total
28.10

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.00
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches753
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%31.7%-2.4 pp
Draw28.0%28.0%+0.0 pp
Away37.9%40.2%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.20–1.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-09.6%
0-19.6%
0-08.4%
1-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.94–5.00
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=753.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches232
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.4%20.3%–31.4% CI
Draw FT39.2%33.2%–45.6% CI
Away FT35.3%29.5%–41.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away51.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamTondelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareTondela vs NacionalCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.