Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-20 · 20:15
12.9231.5%
X3.2928.0%
22.2740.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
LDLWWLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Estoril
WLLLWWLLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.90
Against
4.40
9.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.70goals per match
Estoril conceded1.90
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.40
9.40
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.70
Match total
26.30

Shots

7.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
2.10
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%37.5%+6.0 pp
Draw28.0%29.7%+1.7 pp
Away40.5%32.8%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.351.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
0-010.2%
2-19.4%
1-08.6%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.95
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%35.5%–64.5% CI
Away FT26.2%15.3%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away50.0%