Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 20:30
11.1778.8%
X6.0915.1%
215.356.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWDWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Tondela
WLDWLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.40
Against
4.90
7.70
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.10goals per match
Tondela conceded2.00
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.00goals per match
Porto conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.90
7.70
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
16.90N=10
26.30
Match total
28.60

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.8%85.2%+6.3 pp
Draw15.1%11.1%-4.0 pp
Away6.0%3.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS37.0%

Historical average

2.260.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.4%
1-018.5%
3-016.7%
3-19.3%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.262.57
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT82.4%59.0%–93.8% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–18.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.2%
Away11.8%