Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 18:15
12.1044.0%
X3.5026.4%
23.1129.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Benfica
WWWDWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
2.00
0.40
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
8.70N=10
2.10
Against
2.50
9.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.40
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

3.00goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
8.70N=10
2.10
Corners against
2.50
9.50
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
5.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
25.90
Match total
25.50

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
18.80N=10
7.40
On target
6.00
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches626
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%41.9%-2.1 pp
Draw26.4%29.6%+3.2 pp
Away29.7%28.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.501.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
2-19.6%
1-09.6%
0-18.1%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.47
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=625.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches176
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%28.6%–42.5% CI
Draw FT39.8%32.8%–47.1% CI
Away FT25.0%19.2%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away44.9%