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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 15:30

Arouca

vs

Estrela

12.0345.4%
X3.2328.5%
23.5426.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
DLLWDLWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Estrela
WLLWLDLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.40
Against
6.90
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.50goals per match
Estrela conceded2.30
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.20goals per match
Arouca conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.90
9.90
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.20
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
26.20
Match total
30.40

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches350
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%44.9%-0.6 pp
Draw28.5%29.7%+1.2 pp
Away26.0%25.4%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.45–1.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-112.6%
1-010.0%
0-08.0%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.31–4.63
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=350.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.6%25.6%–42.7% CI
Draw FT41.6%32.9%–50.8% CI
Away FT24.8%17.7%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away51.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamAroucaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamEstrelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareArouca vs EstrelaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.