Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 20:30
12.1143.7%
X3.2228.7%
23.3427.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WLDDWWWLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Guimaraes
LWWDLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.40
Against
3.30
9.20
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.80
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.90goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.30
9.20
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.30
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.60
Match total
30.80

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%44.7%+1.0 pp
Draw28.7%30.8%+2.1 pp
Away27.6%24.5%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.421.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
2-111.6%
1-011.4%
0-08.7%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.32
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,416.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches462
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT37.2%32.9%–41.7% CI
Draw FT39.8%35.5%–44.4% CI
Away FT22.9%19.3%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away42.9%