Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 18:00
13.5725.9%
X3.0430.4%
22.1143.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
DLLDDDWWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Santa Clara
LDLDLLDDWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.70
Against
4.00
9.50
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.60goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.50
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.00
9.50
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.50
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.60N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
30.20
Match total
28.40

Shots

7.50N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
2.70
On target
3.40
21%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.9%27.0%+1.1 pp
Draw30.4%29.3%-1.1 pp
Away43.8%43.7%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

0.931.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.1%
1-112.1%
1-012.1%
0-010.9%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.785.08
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.1%
Over 9.539.1%
Over 10.527.0%
Over 11.519.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%11.4%–30.9% CI
Draw FT45.2%33.4%–57.5% CI
Away FT35.5%24.7%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals29.0%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.1%
Away51.6%