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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:30

Nacional

vs

Alverca

12.1742.5%
X3.3627.5%
23.0830.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
LLWDWDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Alverca
LWLLLLDDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.90
Against
6.50
11.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.40goals per match
Alverca conceded1.90
Matchup

Alverca attack

1.00goals per match
Nacional conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.90
Corners against
6.50
11.40
Match total
10.90
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.70
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.90
Match total
22.40

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,040
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%42.5%-0.0 pp
Draw27.5%27.9%+0.4 pp
Away30.0%29.6%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.45–1.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-011.0%
2-18.8%
1-28.4%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.61–4.50
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,039.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches321
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.9%29.9%–40.3% CI
Draw FT38.6%33.5%–44.1% CI
Away FT26.5%22.0%–31.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away46.4%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAlvercaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs AlvercaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.