Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 20:45
11.6954.8%
X3.6825.2%
24.6120.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rio Ave
LDLWLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
AVS
LLLLDLLDDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.40
1.70
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.70
Goals conceded
2.60
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.80goals per matchAVS conceded2.60Matchup
AVS attack
0.40goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.40
Match total
22.70
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.60
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches867
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%56.9%+2.1 pp
Draw25.2%25.6%+0.5 pp
Away20.1%17.5%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
1.67–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
2-112.6%
1-110.8%
2-010.5%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–3.97
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=867.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches271
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.9%41.0%–52.8% CI
Draw FT38.0%32.4%–43.9% CI
Away FT15.1%11.4%–19.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.9%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.4%
Away34.7%