Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-17 · 20:45
11.6954.8%
X3.6825.2%
24.6120.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
LDLWLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
AVS
LLLLDLLDDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.40
1.70
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.40
1.70
Goals conceded
2.60
2.50
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.80goals per match
AVS conceded2.60
Matchup

AVS attack

0.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.40
Match total
22.70

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.60
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches867
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%56.9%+2.1 pp
Draw25.2%25.6%+0.5 pp
Away20.1%17.5%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.670.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-112.6%
1-110.8%
2-010.5%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.97
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=867.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches271
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT46.9%41.0%–52.8% CI
Draw FT38.0%32.4%–43.9% CI
Away FT15.1%11.4%–19.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.9%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.4%
Away34.7%