Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-13 · 20:15
13.7924.2%
X3.2028.7%
21.9547.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
LLLWLDDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
WDDDDLWLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.80
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
0.70goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.40Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.30goals per matchTondela conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.60
Match total
27.80
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
2.90
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%31.3%+7.1 pp
Draw28.7%24.4%-4.3 pp
Away47.1%44.3%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.9%
BTTS34.3%
Historical average
0.87–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.4%
1-014.9%
0-013.4%
0-210.0%
1-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.10–5.54
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%12.7%–30.0% CI
Draw FT45.0%34.6%–55.9% CI
Away FT35.0%25.5%–45.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.01
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.3%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals7.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.3%
Away46.3%