Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-13 · 20:15
13.7924.2%
X3.2028.7%
21.9547.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LLLWLDDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
WDDDDLWLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.80
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.70goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.40
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.30goals per match
Tondela conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.60
Match total
27.80

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
2.90
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%31.3%+7.1 pp
Draw28.7%24.4%-4.3 pp
Away47.1%44.3%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.9%
BTTS34.3%

Historical average

0.871.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
1-014.9%
0-013.4%
0-210.0%
1-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.105.54
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%12.7%–30.0% CI
Draw FT45.0%34.6%–55.9% CI
Away FT35.0%25.5%–45.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.01

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.3%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals7.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.3%
Away46.3%