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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 18:00

Benfica

vs

Nacional

11.1381.6%
X7.5612.2%
214.756.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WDDWWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Nacional
DDLDLLLLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.30
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Nacional conceded1.60
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.80goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
28.30
Match total
27.80

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
6.40
On target
4.70
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.6%85.8%+4.3 pp
Draw12.2%10.8%-1.4 pp
Away6.2%3.3%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.547.5%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

2.83–0.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.5%
4-015.0%
3-010.8%
2-17.5%
3-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.67–2.76
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–15.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.5%
Away23.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamBenficaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareBenfica vs NacionalCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.