Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 15:30
11.9846.6%
X3.2228.7%
23.7424.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alverca
LDWLWWDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Casa Pia
LDLWLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
1.90
Against
6.50
6.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Alverca attack

0.80goals per match
Casa Pia conceded2.00
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.50goals per match
Alverca conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
1.90
Corners against
6.50
6.70
Match total
10.40
20%2/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.40
Match total
28.60

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.40
On target
2.60
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,032
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%46.6%-0.0 pp
Draw28.7%28.4%-0.3 pp
Away24.7%25.0%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.410.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-012.8%
2-110.5%
0-19.4%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.10
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,032.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches335
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.9%30.0%–40.2% CI
Draw FT39.7%34.6%–45.0% CI
Away FT25.4%21.0%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals34.9%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away42.1%