Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 20:30
111.088.3%
X6.0415.3%
21.2176.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estrela
LDWDDLWLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWDWDWDWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.30
1.60
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.00
Against
3.20
8.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.30
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.50goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.30goals per match
Estrela conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.20
8.40
Match total
9.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Match total
6.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
29.70
Match total
27.50

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
4.40
On target
6.40
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home8.3%4.0%-4.3 pp
Draw15.3%12.0%-3.3 pp
Away76.4%84.0%+7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

0.542.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-316.0%
1-314.0%
0-214.0%
1-210.0%
0-48.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.608.12
Average total10.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.542.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away72.7%