Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 18:00
11.7752.1%
X3.3427.6%
24.5620.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
WLWDLLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Rio Ave
WDWDLLLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.80
Against
7.20
10.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.80
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.00goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
7.20
10.30
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.00
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
31.70
Match total
28.20

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
2.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches354
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%53.4%+1.3 pp
Draw27.6%26.0%-1.6 pp
Away20.2%20.6%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

1.420.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.2%
2-012.4%
1-110.2%
0-09.9%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.533.89
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=354.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.1%
Over 11.522.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.5%35.9%–53.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%29.6%–46.8% CI
Away FT17.6%11.8%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals30.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.5%
Away31.9%