Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:30
14.7919.2%
X3.6525.2%
21.6655.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AVS
DDLDLLLWDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Guimaraes
LLWWDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
2.90
9.80
Total
7.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AVS attack
0.90goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.90Matchup
Guimaraes attack
0.80goals per matchAVS conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
2.90
9.80
Match total
7.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.60
Match total
31.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.2%16.5%-2.8 pp
Draw25.2%24.0%-1.3 pp
Away55.5%59.6%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS46.1%
Historical average
0.84–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.6%
0-212.7%
1-111.6%
1-29.0%
0-37.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.78–5.75
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=267.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Draw FT34.2%24.7%–45.2% CI
Away FT46.8%36.2%–57.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals8.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.2%
Away62.0%