Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:30
14.7919.2%
X3.6525.2%
21.6655.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
DDLDLLLWDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Guimaraes
LLWWDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
2.90
9.80
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.90
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

0.80goals per match
AVS conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
2.90
9.80
Match total
7.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.60
Match total
31.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.2%16.5%-2.8 pp
Draw25.2%24.0%-1.3 pp
Away55.5%59.6%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

0.841.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.6%
0-212.7%
1-111.6%
1-29.0%
0-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.785.75
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=267.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Draw FT34.2%24.7%–45.2% CI
Away FT46.8%36.2%–57.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.2%
Away62.0%