Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 20:45
11.4663.4%
X4.0522.8%
26.7213.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Famalicao
WLLWLWWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Moreirense
WLDDWLLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
3.70
10.20
Total
7.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Famalicao attack
1.90goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.30Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.20goals per matchFamalicao conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.70
10.20
Match total
7.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.70
Match total
30.50
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%67.3%+3.9 pp
Draw22.8%23.7%+0.9 pp
Away13.8%9.0%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.75–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.5%
1-112.2%
2-110.9%
2-010.3%
3-19.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–3.28
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%47.8%–73.0% CI
Draw FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Away FT9.3%4.0%–19.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.2%
Away33.3%