Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 20:45
11.4663.4%
X4.0522.8%
26.7213.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
WLLWLWWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Moreirense
WLDDWLLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
3.70
10.20
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.30
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.70
10.20
Match total
7.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.70
Match total
30.50

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.4%67.3%+3.9 pp
Draw22.8%23.7%+0.9 pp
Away13.8%9.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.750.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.5%
1-112.2%
2-110.9%
2-010.3%
3-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.28
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%47.8%–73.0% CI
Draw FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Away FT9.3%4.0%–19.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away33.3%