Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 20:30
11.3667.9%
X4.4120.9%
28.3011.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Famalicao
DWDLLWLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
0.40
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.40
Against
5.40
7.60
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.20
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.70goals per match
Porto conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.40
7.60
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
25.10
Match total
34.30

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.80
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.9%68.2%+0.3 pp
Draw20.9%21.8%+0.9 pp
Away11.1%10.0%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS38.2%

Historical average

1.880.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.2%
1-016.4%
1-110.0%
3-09.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.383.28
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.0%49.5%–77.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%14.2%–40.2% CI
Away FT10.0%4.0%–23.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away30.0%