Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-04-03 · 20:30
11.2971.8%
X5.0018.5%
29.589.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Santa Clara
LLDLDLLDDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.90
0.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.00
Against
4.00
9.10
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.90goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.30
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.00
Corners against
4.00
9.10
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
5.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.90
Match total
27.80

Shots

19.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
8.00
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.8%76.5%+4.7 pp
Draw18.5%16.8%-1.7 pp
Away9.7%6.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS40.3%

Historical average

2.090.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.5%
1-014.3%
3-010.9%
2-110.1%
4-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.183.03
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%47.9%–78.5% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT5.9%1.6%–19.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.5%
Away23.5%