Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 18:00
19.469.7%
X5.1717.8%
21.2772.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alverca
WLDWLWWDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWWDWDWDWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
7.20N=10
2.30
Against
3.20
6.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Alverca attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.80
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.00goals per match
Alverca conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
7.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.20
6.90
Match total
10.40
20%2/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.50
Match total
6.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
28.40
Match total
27.80

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
3.40
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.7%8.0%-1.8 pp
Draw17.8%12.5%-5.3 pp
Away72.5%79.5%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS35.2%

Historical average

0.572.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.5%
0-114.8%
0-312.5%
1-38.0%
0-45.7%

Comparable corner averages

2.976.68
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home21.1%
Away68.4%