Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 15:30
11.7154.0%
X3.7924.4%
24.2721.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
LDWDWWWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Rio Ave
DWDWDLLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.80
Against
7.20
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

2.20goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.70
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.80goals per match
Estoril conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.20
9.40
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.50
Match total
28.90

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches498
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.0%62.0%+8.0 pp
Draw24.4%21.9%-2.5 pp
Away21.6%16.1%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

2.061.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.4%
2-111.0%
2-010.8%
1-08.8%
3-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.15
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=498.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%44.8%–62.5% CI
Draw FT30.3%22.7%–39.0% CI
Away FT16.0%10.5%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals59.7%
3+ goals32.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.9%
Away44.5%