Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 20:30
11.8749.5%
X3.3527.6%
24.0322.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
LLLLWLDDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
AVS
LLLLLLDLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
2.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Against
6.40
9.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
2.90
2.10
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.70goals per match
AVS conceded2.90
Matchup

AVS attack

0.50goals per match
Tondela conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.40
9.70
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.20
Match total
3.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
25.30
Match total
23.00

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
2.80
On target
2.30
7%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.5%47.9%-1.6 pp
Draw27.6%29.5%+1.9 pp
Away22.9%22.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.470.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-012.6%
2-19.9%
2-09.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.05
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches381
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.5%31.8%–41.4% CI
Draw FT40.7%35.9%–45.7% CI
Away FT22.8%18.9%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away42.3%