Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 18:00
11.2872.4%
X5.2217.7%
29.359.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWDDWWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Guimaraes
WLLWWDLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.20
Against
2.80
8.50
Total
6.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.50goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.20
Corners against
2.80
8.50
Match total
6.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
28.70
Match total
30.60

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.40
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%71.6%-0.7 pp
Draw17.7%18.5%+0.7 pp
Away9.9%9.9%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

2.270.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.1%
2-010.8%
2-19.0%
1-18.1%
3-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.793.35
Average total11.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.6%
Over 9.566.2%
Over 10.555.4%
Over 11.542.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%39.9%–65.0% CI
Draw FT40.4%28.6%–53.3% CI
Away FT7.0%2.8%–16.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals19.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.2%
Away33.3%