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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 15:30

Moreirense

vs

Arouca

12.3639.2%
X3.1929.0%
22.9231.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WWLDLWWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arouca
LLLDLWWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
4.70
9.50
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.20goals per match
Arouca conceded2.20
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.20goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.70
9.50
Match total
7.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
29.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.90
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,018
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%40.1%+0.8 pp
Draw29.0%31.2%+2.2 pp
Away31.7%28.7%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.28–1.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-011.5%
2-19.7%
0-09.6%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.23–4.52
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,018.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches356
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.3%25.8%–35.3% CI
Draw FT43.8%38.8%–49.0% CI
Away FT25.8%21.6%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.1%
Away47.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMoreirenseForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAroucaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMoreirense vs AroucaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.