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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 20:15

Estrela

vs

Casa Pia

12.3838.9%
X3.0930.0%
22.9831.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estrela
WLDWDDLWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Casa Pia
LLDLWLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.50
Against
6.50
8.90
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.40goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.80
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.60goals per match
Estrela conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.50
8.90
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.00
Match total
27.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,082
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%39.2%+0.3 pp
Draw30.0%31.4%+1.4 pp
Away31.1%29.4%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.21–1.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.4%
0-010.9%
0-19.4%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.16–4.42
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,082.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches397
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.0%25.7%–34.7% CI
Draw FT45.1%40.3%–50.0% CI
Away FT24.9%20.9%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away46.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamEstrelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamCasa PiaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareEstrela vs Casa PiaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.