Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 20:30
11.1778.7%
X6.0015.4%
215.545.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Moreirense
LWLDDWLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
0.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.80
Against
3.50
8.10
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.70goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.30
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.40goals per match
Porto conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.50
8.10
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
24.20
Match total
30.40

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.7%90.9%+12.2 pp
Draw15.4%6.1%-9.3 pp
Away5.9%3.0%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS39.4%

Historical average

2.420.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-018.2%
2-015.2%
2-115.2%
1-015.2%
4-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.482.39
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.530.3%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.9%62.3%–98.4% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away0.0%