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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 15:30

Nacional

vs

Estoril

12.3938.7%
X3.4726.6%
22.6634.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
LWLLWDWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Estoril
LDWLLLWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.80
Against
4.60
10.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.60goals per match
Estoril conceded2.00
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.60goals per match
Nacional conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.60
10.80
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.00
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches316
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%38.0%-0.7 pp
Draw26.6%29.1%+2.5 pp
Away34.7%32.9%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS62.0%

Historical average

1.50–1.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-19.8%
1-28.9%
0-17.3%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.09–4.83
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=316.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%21.5%–40.6% CI
Draw FT41.9%32.0%–52.4% CI
Away FT27.9%19.5%–38.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away54.7%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamEstorilForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs EstorilCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.