Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 15:30
14.3421.3%
X3.2728.2%
21.8350.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
LDDLDLLLWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Santa Clara
DLLDLDLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.40
Against
4.00
9.30
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AVS attack

1.00goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.40
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
AVS conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.00
9.30
Match total
8.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.70
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
25.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.3%24.2%+2.9 pp
Draw28.2%30.0%+1.8 pp
Away50.5%45.8%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.517.5%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

0.881.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-111.7%
0-011.7%
1-210.8%
1-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.035.51
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Draw FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Away FT29.8%18.7%–44.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away48.9%