Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 18:00
11.6556.0%
X3.6025.7%
25.0518.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WWWLDDWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Alverca
LWLWLLLLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.30
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.80goals per match
Alverca conceded1.90
Matchup

Alverca attack

1.00goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
28.60
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.20
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches645
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%58.0%+2.0 pp
Draw25.7%25.4%-0.2 pp
Away18.3%16.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.660.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
2-112.7%
1-112.1%
2-010.1%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.75
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=645.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches220
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.1%37.7%–50.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%30.3%–42.9% CI
Away FT19.5%14.8%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals44.5%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.3%
Away43.2%