Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:30
12.3738.9%
X3.2228.6%
22.8432.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WLWDLWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Famalicao
DDWDLLWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.30goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.20
Matchup

Famalicao attack

0.60goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
17.80N=10
29.80
Match total
34.70

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches483
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%36.4%-2.5 pp
Draw28.6%30.2%+1.6 pp
Away32.5%33.3%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.311.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-110.6%
1-09.1%
0-07.9%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.46
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=483.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%22.9%–37.1% CI
Draw FT41.0%33.6%–48.9% CI
Away FT29.5%22.9%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away50.0%