Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 20:30
12.5735.8%
X2.9830.9%
22.7733.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
WLWLWDLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Guimaraes
LWLLWWDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
2.90
9.90
Total
6.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.60
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
2.90
9.90
Match total
6.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
7.10
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
31.90
Match total
29.90

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches665
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%32.8%-3.1 pp
Draw30.9%33.4%+2.5 pp
Away33.3%33.8%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.091.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-012.6%
0-112.3%
1-011.1%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.684.45
Average total9.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=665.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches257
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.4%25.1%–36.2% CI
Draw FT43.6%37.7%–49.7% CI
Away FT26.1%21.1%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.3%
Away42.8%