Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 20:30
12.5735.8%
X2.9830.9%
22.7733.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
WLWLWDLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Guimaraes
LWLLWWDLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.20
Against
2.90
9.90
Total
6.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
1.00goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.60Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.00goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
2.90
9.90
Match total
6.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
7.10
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
31.90
Match total
29.90
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.30
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches665
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%32.8%-3.1 pp
Draw30.9%33.4%+2.5 pp
Away33.3%33.8%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.09–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-012.6%
0-112.3%
1-011.1%
2-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–4.45
Average total9.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=665.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.521.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches257
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.4%25.1%–36.2% CI
Draw FT43.6%37.7%–49.7% CI
Away FT26.1%21.1%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.3%
Away42.8%