Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 18:00
12.1343.3%
X3.1829.0%
23.3427.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
DWWDDWWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Porto
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
0.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
6.00N=10
2.20
Against
3.00
8.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
0.30
3.10
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.40goals per match
Porto conceded0.30
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
2.20
Corners against
3.00
8.80
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
29.10
Match total
28.20

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.50
On target
5.60
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,343
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.3%-0.0 pp
Draw29.0%31.7%+2.7 pp
Away27.6%24.9%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.341.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.0%
0-010.1%
2-19.6%
2-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.23
Average total9.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,342.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches467
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.3%30.1%–38.7% CI
Draw FT43.7%39.3%–48.2% CI
Away FT22.1%18.5%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away42.6%