Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-08 · 15:30
14.2521.7%
X3.3127.9%
21.8350.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estrela
LWLDWDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Gil Vicente
WLWDDDDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.90
Against
3.50
8.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Estrela attack

1.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.30goals per match
Estrela conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.50
8.60
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
27.80
Match total
26.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.80
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.7%28.1%+6.4 pp
Draw27.9%23.6%-4.3 pp
Away50.4%48.3%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.518.5%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

0.941.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.4%
1-011.8%
1-111.2%
1-210.7%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.185.93
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%15.0%–35.6% CI
Draw FT39.7%28.5%–52.0% CI
Away FT36.5%25.7%–48.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.7%
Away50.8%